Warrant Buffet in his 2002 chairman’s letter for his holding company Berkshire Hathaway, while referring to derivatives, wrote, “We view them as time bombs, both for the parties that deal in them and the economic system“. He further added in the same letter that, “derivatives are financial weapons of mass destructions, carrying dangers that, while now latent, are potentially lethal.”
Exchange traded derivatives are standardised contracts regulated by stock exchanges under the overall superintendence of securities market regulator. Trading in futures and options (F&O) in India (equity derivatives) has seen a sharp growth since Covid-19 lockdown in 2020. Lockdown led to flock of new savvy traders trying to make a quick buck in the stock market. Options trading was taken up as a side hustle, as many individuals started working from home during lockdown. There have been instances were these individuals (salaried or already engaged in some other full-time business) would have separate laptops for office work and F&O trading for punching trades while working from home. During Covid-19 lockdown, the financial savings were high and there were no other avenues to spend.
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Indian stock market suddenly discovered these new young investors who entered during Covid-19 lockdown attracted towards F&O trading. After the crash in March 2020 because of the Covid-19 lockdown, stock market indices in India witnessed an unprecedented one-way rally which took the Nifty 50 Index from the low of around 7,500 in March 2020 to a high of around 18,604 in October 2021, being a jump of more than 100% in absolute terms. Perhaps, no other asset class witnessed such a mind-boggling rally and that too at an index level.
Coinciding with this was also an unprecedented addition in the number of demat accounts, coupled with easier KYC norms, cheap mobile data and easier availability/affordability of smartphones.
It is said that, once in a while, youthful stupidity is a better way to find happiness than making choices which are mature when you grow older. You may have read about how working professionals who were drawn to the idea of accelerated returns through F&O trading, only to later realise that, F&O trading can also lead to losing the capital completely. Apparently, there is an underlying assumption that, F&O trading promises quick riches, but the dreams are shattered when they realise that addiction to trading can fuel a cycle of relentless losses.
While the broad risks involved in F&O are well-known, it’s worth repeating some of them:
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (“SEBI”) studied the profit and loss of individual traders dealing in equity F&O segment. Period of SEBI study was specifically FY19 and FY22, to study the influx of individual investors before and after the lockdown. Following were some of the findings of the report (25 January 2023) across all products in equity F&O segment:
The updated SEBI study further revealed that 93% of over 1 crore individual F&O traders incurred losses in equity F&O between FY22 and FY24. 9 out of 10 individual traders in the equity futures and options segment continued to incur significant losses. The aggregate loses of individual traders exceeded INR 1.8 lakh crore over the 3 year period between FY22 and FY24. Over 75% of individual F&O traders in FY24 have declared an annual income of less than Rs. 5 lakh. Despite consecutive years of losses, more than 75% of loss-making traders continued trading in F&O.
Independent of above, there is also data to suggest that number of young investors under 30 years of age bracket has doubled from 2020 to 2024.
The Covid-19 lockdown has made a huge impact on the investor demographics, so much so that, parents who are finding it difficult to convince their children to join the family business or even take up a salaried full-time job, because the Generation Z are attracted to the charm of stock market trading. The constant urge to indulge in some form of activity is real and for these traders, it is difficult to practice the art of doing nothing, or creating wealth through long-term investing. This eruption of hyperactivity in derivative markets, particularly by individual players, is not only acting as a deterrent in capital formation, but is also threatening to hurt investment and growth, by endangering both investor protection and market stability.
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) by circular dated 1 October 2024, tightened the norms for futures and options (F&O) trading, by raising the entry barrier and making it more expensive for retail investors to trade in F&Os. This new framework is meant to create a more stable, transparent, and investor-friendly F&O market while minimizing undue risks for participants.
The above norms, some of which have already been implemented since 20 November 2024 have raised certain concerns around the impact that they may have on trading volumes, liquidity, including the dip in the revenues for stock exchanges and stock brokers. Insofar as stock brokers are concerned, impact on their business because of the above norms, will also depend on the kind of customers (retail / institutional) which contribute to their revenue from the F&O segment.
No doubt, the derivatives markets enhance price discovery and market liquidity, but without appropriate risk management tools, there could be higher risks of market manipulation, increased volatility, consequently resulting in investor interest and protection being compromised. One of the primary responsibilities of SEBI is to protect the interest of investors, while promoting the development of and regulation of the securities market. Indian Derivatives market turnover has significantly surpassed cash market turnover. Post covid era has seen a heightened activity from retail investors and therefore it becomes more so important for SEBI to safeguard interest of these investors, even if the consequence of this is that the fine line between regulation and over-regulation gets blurred.
On a separate but related note, the ill-effects of trading on mental health (stress, anxiety, depression, undertaking compulsive trades, boredom on trading holidays etc.) of a trader (and those dependant on the trader / relatives) is often ignored, not much spoken about and is an underrated topic of discussion. With rewards come great risks, which those trading may want to downplay. You only see screenshots on social media posted by a trader of profits earned by them from F&O trading, but the screenshots of the losses made are rare. We could discuss these aspects more, but that’s a discussion for another day.
Fred Schwed Jr., once said – “Speculation is an effort, probably unsuccessful, to turn a little money into a lot. Investment is an effort, which should be successful, to prevent a lot of money from becoming a little.”
This article was originally published in Mondaq on 4 December 2024 Written by: Yogesh Chande, Partner. Click here for original article
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